My pet electoral theory is that the candidate considered more virile invariably wins. We pick our elected officials in much the same way we buy a new car. When we go to buy a car, we usually know what make and model we want. We appreciate a salesman who assumes the sale is his, though he doesn't show it.
It gets a little trickier to predict outcomes when you have a female candidate. The energy that is produced by a confident male does have an analogue with women. But I think much of our processing is done at a subconscious level.
It seems fairly certain that our Presidential electoral match-up is going to be Trump vs. Clinton. Hillary's people will profess a preference to going against Trump. They think they have the female vote in the bag.
Maybe they do, and maybe they don't.
Clinton's team will talk about Trump's "misogyny." He has made derogatory comments about Rosie O'Donnell, Megyn Kelly, and Carly Fiorina, for starters. He said that Hillary got, "schlonged" by Obama in 2008. He commented about his "endowment." All of these things should turn women away from him, right?
What if Trump is actually using "game?"
Perhaps Donald Trump is unconsciously "negging" female voters. Negging is using backhanded compliments or insults to undermine someone's confidence. In theory, the person will attempt to overcome this insult by proving themselves worthy.
Donald Trump's polling is very negative with women. This is always framed as Donald's "women problem." But Hillary's poll numbers with men are just as bad. This is never framed as Hillary's "men problem."
What's more likely, Donald recovering with women, or Hillary recovering with men?
Hillary's virility is wrapped up in her bitchiness, and men will never get around that. It's the elemental fear of mother. But Donald's virility is linked to his business success, and his ability to attract high-status women. Like Melania, who represents an archetype of the way women see themselves, smart, and beautiful.
Women will come around to Donald Trump because something is clearly amiss with today's woman. Everybody knows it but them.
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